It's also the first time since 1970 a top seed has been an underdog in the divisional round. If Ellerbe is limited or knocked out during Saturday's game, Najee Goode will likely take over his spot, or Philadelphia could use different defensive packages that might make stopping Atlanta's running game more hard.
13 - Wins by the Eagles, tying a franchise record.
"What bothered me is we were 12-2, and we got treated like we were the Browns", Pro Bowl tackle Lane Johnson said.
The New England Patriots begin their quest for a third Super Bowl title in four seasons on Sunday, when they meet the Tennessee Titans. We are a different team than we were at this juncture previous year. He'll throw for nearly 300 yards, with Jones being the best receiving bet to find the end zone.
Although Atlanta had a lead into the second quarter, Carolina continued to pound the ball on the ground, ending the game with 201 rushing yards on 38 carries.
QB Matt Ryan - This season, Matty Ice has completed almost 65 percent of his passes, and has thrown for 4,095 yards, 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Julio Jones caught 10 passes for 135 yards.
Atlanta's defense has speed at all three levels.
Nagel knows the Falcons pulled an upset road win against the Rams last week. The Eagles, who are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games, probably need to build a lead through running back Jay Ajayi and their ground game, rather than rely on backup quarterback Nick Foles. Atlanta, the defending conference champions, advanced last weekend on a defense-fueled 26-13 victory over the Rams.
Foles has already proven he can sling it, evidenced by the 27 touchdowns against two interceptions he threw in 2013 when Chip Kelly was the Eagles' coach. The Falcons also ran the ball for over 100 yards.
OUR PREDICTION: In their last six games, the Falcons' defense has given up only 16.3 points per game. Not something you can count on weekly. The associated moneylines for the game are Falcons -145 and Philadelphia +135. He is 1-3 in his National Football League career at Lincoln Financial Field. The Patriots are favored by almost two touchdowns Saturday night, and could advance to a ridiculous seventh straight AFC Championship game. The Eagles (13-3) failed to score in a 6-0 loss to the Dallas Cowboys to close the season as Foles was just four of 11 for 39 yards with an interception in the defeat. This is the fourth postseason meeting between the Eagles and Falcons, though the first since 2004. In this case, though, those who come up with the betting lines clearly watched the same excruciating games we fans did, where Foles' play inspired zero confidence. Buy this spread up to 3.5 to be safe and take Philly.