Heavy tropical rains, possible depression or storm

National Hurricane Center watching area in the Gulf of Mexico

Disturbance in Southeastern Gulf

The arrow shows its approximate future direction through the end of the workweek.

A large and somewhat disorganized area of low pressure over the eastern Gulf of Mexico continues to lift slowly north with no signs of tropical development at this time. Heavy rainfall will be the primary concern regardless, especially in the Sunshine State. Areas of flooding are reasonably likely, although it is too soon to pinpoint exactly where.

We're now talking inside baseball some but know this: the main impact from this system will be rain, some of it heavy at times on Monday, followed by rain chances throughout the week.

We continue to monitor a developing system in the Gulf of Mexico this morning.

A storm extending across much of the Florida Peninsula has a 30 percent chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next two days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The more of a system's circulation that's close to or over land, the lesser chance for development.

The area circled indicates where we could see a surface low form.

All that being said, it looks like the current mess in the eastern Gulf may not have the opportunity to earn a number (become a tropical depression) or a name (become a tropical storm).

As of Monday morning at 8 a.m., one Skywarn weather spotter in western Palm Coast already had reported 2.6 inches of rain, said Bob Pickering, an emergency services technician with Flagler County Emergency Management.

Even if the system doesnt develop, the National Weather Service predicts the storms will pour a lot of rain onto an otherwise drier-than-normal Tampa Bay.

Miami Beach officials said the city's pumps operated without any problems during the heavy rain, but they plan to check them anyway "in an abundance of caution", public works director Roy Coley said in an email.

As for rainfall totals, the totals aren't excessive on any given day.

The expectations come as over 26 percent of Florida is experiencing drought conditions.

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