Atlantic hurricane season outlook

Floridians taking hurricane prep more seriously, AAA says

CSU team decreases forecast, now calls for near-average 2018 Atlantic hurricane season - SOURCE

Following months of legal disputes between the state and industry groups that pushed back on the requirements, the Florida Legislature passed rules mandating that those facilities verify they have installed a working generator or alternate backup power source by June 1, the start of hurricane season. It is less than six years since Hurricane Sandy crippled much of the Northeast.

La Nina increases hurricane development while El Nino hinders hurricane development in the Atlantic. The reason for the revised predictions is that seawater in the eastern Atlantic Ocean is unusually cold for this time of year, meteorologist Phil Klotzbach said. And it said unusually cool temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean would deprive hurricanes of the warm water that fuels them. Maul declined to answer questions about his level of experience, but the governor's office has cited Maul's work at the department so far - including responses to storms and mass shootings - as an indicator that Maul is up to the task. And in case you're wondering, a tropical storm becomes a hurricane when its sustained wind speed goes above 74 miles per hour.

Currently, the U.S. National Hurricane Centre, a branch of the NOAA, has issued public safety alerts concerning Subtropical Storm Alberto, which is making its way Northward toward the coast of the Florida Panhandle and is predicted to make landfall on Memorial Day in the afternoon. There have been pre-season storms before various types of hurricane seasons. Scientists note that even an average or below average season can produce storms that devastated areas where they make landfall and caution against taking the wrong message from a reduced forecast. By comparison, the extremely active 2017 season was about 245 percent of the average season.

The Tropical Meteorology Project will update the forecast July 2 and August 2.

The Center has seen improvements in the HWRF model, with a 15 to 20 percent improvement in hurricane intensity forecast accuracy each year since 2011.

The university's long-running Tropical Meteorology Project is based on 29 years of hurricane data. Gray died in 2016.

What are Colorado State's forecasts based on?

Bell cautioned coastal residents to take proper precautions.

Director of NODS Philmore Mullin reiterates that it only takes one storm or hurricane to cause significant disruption to normal life and residents should prepare adequately ahead of any threat.

There's a 51 percent chance the continental US will suffer a major hurricane, down from 63 percent in an April and in line with the 20th Century average, according to the report.

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